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Why Pivot Detection Is Not a Trading Signal
Why Pivot Detection Is Not a Trading Signal Finding a recognizable peak or trough on a chart is a detection problem. Turning it into a live-safe, profitable decision is a much longer chain. Our ETHUSD pivot research began with a simple question: can a model locate the kinds of turns a human annotator marks on…
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Why We Keep an Append-Only Trading Research Log
Why We Keep an Append-Only Trading Research Log A research process becomes much easier to fool when yesterday’s failed test can quietly become today’s successful story. An append-only trading research log gives every important experiment a permanent place in the record. We preserve what was proposed, what data was available, what passed, what failed, and…
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What an Automated Trading System Must Prove
What an Automated Trading System Must Prove Before It Trades An automated trading system is not ready because a model produces signals. It is ready only when the entire decision process survives evidence, timing, execution, and risk tests. It is easy to describe an automated trading system as a model that looks at market data…
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Forex Market Hours in Your Local Time
Forex Market Hours in Your Local Time Forex market hours are easier to follow when the session schedule is translated into the timezone you actually use. Unlike a single centralized exchange, the foreign exchange market follows a global network of financial centers. Wellington, Sydney, London, Toronto, New York, Hong Kong, Singapore, Mexico City, and Frankfurt…
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How To Import IBKR Trades | Flex Query
How to Import IBKR Trades with Flex Query An IBKR Flex Query can turn a broker execution report into a file you can review in a separate trade journal. Interactive Brokers provides several reports and export options. For a local journal, the important part is creating an Activity Flex Query that includes trade executions in…
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How To Calculate Forex Position Sizes
How to Calculate Forex Position Size A position size should start with the amount you are willing to risk, not the number of lots that happens to fit your account. Calculating forex position size by account risk gives you a repeatable way to connect your account equity, risk percentage, stop-loss distance, and pip value. The…
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Developments
This page records Evolve Quant’s development history, from early software projects and Microsoft Founders Hub support to machine-learning research and the practical trading tools we build today. In November of 2023, we began our journey with Microsoft Founders Hub. After being granted $5,000.00 worth of Azure credits, we successfully built some of our first software…
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Bad Actors in Centralized Exchanges
Originally published in November 2022, this article is historical commentary on the FTX collapse and is not current market news or financial advice. FTX international had a major meltdown the past few days. Simply put 99.99% of depositors funds (approximately $8Billion) were placed into a single illiquid token of FTX, FTT. Unethical and irresponsible leadership,…